The Rise and Fall and Rise (and Fall) of Simple Climate Models for Projections of Surface Temperature

March 30, 2023

Piers Forster

Hosted by Dave Thompson

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Abstract

This talk will look at how simple physical climate models have, and have not, been used in Intergovernmental Panel on Climate (IPCC) Reports. It will detail how the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report chose to base its temperature and sea-level projections on such models, rather than CMIP6 models. Were we right to do this? Maybe not…